Abstract:
The Lebanese transport sector still faces numerous challenges in its transformation toward sustainable electric mobility. Currently, the transportation sector is the second largest consumer of energy in Lebanon, depending entirely on gasoline and diesel, and contributing to approximately 23 percent of the nation’s greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, the electricity infrastructure is weak with a significant shortage in power supply. The national market has seen a growing market share for electric vehicles, and many gas stations have conducted electric vehicle charging stations. Nevertheless, the cost of capital, and maintenance cost of electric vehicles remain high in Lebanon, coupled with the high cost of electricity per kWh. This thesis investigates the economic evaluation of electric mobility at the national level for low and middle-income countries by considering the case of Lebanon. The approach implemented in this evaluation is to assess the economic present value of integrating electric vehicles in Lebanon as of 2030 by considering the 30x30 scenario versus the business-as-usual scenario in which passenger vehicle fleet follows the current traditional trends without any integration of electric vehicles. The 30x30 scenario, adopted by the World Bank, entails an electric mobility target of 30 percent market share of all electric vehicles by 2030. Four different cost components are considered in this economic evaluation: (i) vehicle capital cost, (ii) operating and maintenance cost, (iii) charging infrastructure integration cost, and (iv) environmental externality cost. Insights and Recommendations generated from this economic evaluation supports Lebanon's Indented Nationally Determined Contribution targets and actions.
