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Modeling Lebanon's electricity sector: Alternative scenarios and their implications

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dc.contributor.author Dagher L.
dc.contributor.author Ruble I.
dc.contributor.editor
dc.date 2011
dc.date.accessioned 2017-10-03T15:55:05Z
dc.date.available 2017-10-03T15:55:05Z
dc.date.issued 2011
dc.identifier 10.1016/j.energy.2011.04.010
dc.identifier.isbn
dc.identifier.issn 03605442
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10938/12975
dc.description.abstract This paper is concerned with modeling possible future paths for Lebanon's electricity future and evaluating them. The baseline scenario (BS) reflects the business-as-usual state of affairs and thus describes the most likely evolution of the power sector in the absence of any climate change-related or other policies. Two alternative scenarios are examined in contrast to the BS; the renewable energy scenario (RES) and the natural gas scenario (NGS). Using the Long range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) software we conduct a full-fledged scenario analysis and examine the technical, economic, and environmental implications of all scenarios.From an economic standpoint as well as from an environmental perspective both alternative scenarios are superior to the baseline. Hence, the results of the simulation show that the alternative scenarios are more environmentally and economically attractive than the BS. They would help Lebanon meet its social, environmental, and economic development goals, while at the same time providing other unquantifiable benefits that are discussed further in the paper. Anticipated barriers to the shift in energy mix from conventional sources to renewable energy sources are also presented and discussed. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd.
dc.format.extent
dc.format.extent Pages: (4315-4326)
dc.language English
dc.publisher OXFORD
dc.relation.ispartof Publication Name: Energy; Publication Year: 2011; Volume: 36; no. 7; Pages: (4315-4326);
dc.relation.ispartofseries
dc.relation.uri
dc.source Scopus
dc.subject.other
dc.title Modeling Lebanon's electricity sector: Alternative scenarios and their implications
dc.type Article
dc.contributor.affiliation Dagher, L., American University of Beirut, Department of Economics, P.O. Box 11-0236, Riad El-Solh, Beirut 1107 2020, Lebanon, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Environment and Natural Resources Program, 79 John F. Kennedy Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States
dc.contributor.affiliation Ruble, I., American University of Beirut, Department of Economics, P.O. Box 11-0236, Riad El-Solh, Beirut 1107 2020, Lebanon
dc.contributor.authorAddress Dagher, L.; American University of Beirut, Department of Economics, P.O.Box 11-0236, Riad El-Solh, Beirut 1107 2020, Lebanon; email: ld08@aub.edu.lb
dc.contributor.authorCorporate University: American University of Beirut; Faculty: Faculty of Arts and Sciences; Department: Economics;
dc.contributor.authorDepartment Economics
dc.contributor.authorDivision
dc.contributor.authorEmail ld08@aub.edu.lb
dc.contributor.authorFaculty Faculty of Arts and Sciences
dc.contributor.authorInitials Dagher, L
dc.contributor.authorInitials Ruble, I
dc.contributor.authorOrcidID
dc.contributor.authorReprintAddress Dagher, L (reprint author), Amer Univ Beirut, Dept Econ, POB 11-0236, Beirut 11072020, Lebanon.
dc.contributor.authorResearcherID
dc.contributor.authorUniversity American University of Beirut
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dc.description.citedCount 16
dc.description.citedTotWOSCount 12
dc.description.citedWOSCount 12
dc.format.extentCount 12
dc.identifier.articleNo
dc.identifier.coden ENEYD
dc.identifier.pubmedID
dc.identifier.scopusID 79959380764
dc.identifier.url
dc.publisher.address THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND
dc.relation.ispartofConference
dc.relation.ispartofConferenceCode
dc.relation.ispartofConferenceDate
dc.relation.ispartofConferenceHosting
dc.relation.ispartofConferenceLoc
dc.relation.ispartofConferenceSponsor
dc.relation.ispartofConferenceTitle
dc.relation.ispartofFundingAgency
dc.relation.ispartOfISOAbbr Energy
dc.relation.ispartOfIssue 7
dc.relation.ispartOfPart
dc.relation.ispartofPubTitle Energy
dc.relation.ispartofPubTitleAbbr Energy
dc.relation.ispartOfSpecialIssue
dc.relation.ispartOfSuppl
dc.relation.ispartOfVolume 36
dc.source.ID WOS:000293115600043
dc.type.publication Journal
dc.subject.otherAuthKeyword CO2 emissions
dc.subject.otherAuthKeyword Electricity generation
dc.subject.otherAuthKeyword LEAP
dc.subject.otherAuthKeyword Renewable energy
dc.subject.otherAuthKeyword Scenario analysis
dc.subject.otherChemCAS
dc.subject.otherIndex Business-as-usual
dc.subject.otherIndex Economic development
dc.subject.otherIndex Economic standpoints
dc.subject.otherIndex Electricity futures
dc.subject.otherIndex Electricity generation
dc.subject.otherIndex Electricity sector
dc.subject.otherIndex Energy mix
dc.subject.otherIndex Environmental implications
dc.subject.otherIndex LEAP
dc.subject.otherIndex Lebanon
dc.subject.otherIndex Long range
dc.subject.otherIndex Planning systems
dc.subject.otherIndex Possible futures
dc.subject.otherIndex Power sector
dc.subject.otherIndex Renewable
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus ENERGY-CONSUMPTION
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus POWER SECTOR
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus RENEWABLE-ENERGY
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus GHG EMISSIONS
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus CONSERVATION
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus UNIVARIATE
dc.subject.otherKeywordPlus OPTIONS
dc.subject.otherWOS Thermodynamics
dc.subject.otherWOS Energy and Fuels


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