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Item type:Item, قراءة في ما وراء وقف إطلاق النار: تحليل مقارن للقرار ١٧٠١ واتفاق وقف إطلاق النار ٢٠٢٤(Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International Affairs, 2025-01) باحوط، جوزيف; طاشجيان، يحيا; معهد عصام فارس للسياسات العامة والشؤون الدولية; Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International Affairs; عقيقي، فيفيانWhile both the 2006 Ceasefire Agreement and the November 2024 Agreement between Lebanon and Israel include the implementation of all previous resolutions, several differences have altered the situation and led to divergent interpretations within Lebanon. Some consider the new agreement the same as the earlier one, while others view it as a “plus.” Moreover, ambiguity appears to be the dominant factor in the November 2024 agreement.Item type:Item, Is the Banking Sector in Lebanon Salvageable?(Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International Affairs, 2025-10) Faour, Mohamad; Geadah, Sami; Jamali, Ibrahim; Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International AffairsThe financial crisis in Lebanon was the result of deep-rooted structural problems that had been identified for many years. The government default—combined with an insolvent central bank—resulted in the commercial banking sector having a massive $72 billion hole because of its large exposure to these two entities. Reaching an agreement on bank restructuring and loss allocation is crucial for laying the foundations for sustainable growth and it is a condition for a much-needed IMF program. The political impasse has centered on this very issue, with competing proposals from multiple policymakers, stakeholders and independent bodies. This paper looks at possibilities for bank restructuring in Lebanon, drawing upon the standards set by the Financial Stability Board (FSB) and the Basel Committee on Bank Supervision (BCBS), particularly the Total Loss Absorption Capacity (TLAC) and Basel III requirements. It finds that under realistic market conditions, only a few banks would be financially viable without a massive injection of capital or a sharp reduction in liabilities. This conclusion is based on a bank-by-bank solvency assessment for 21 representative banks. A bail-in involving the conversion of deposits into equity could be part of the solution for restructuring banks. Encouragingly, a recovery of up to $100,000 per depositor appears feasible. The paper is organized as follows: The first section explains the peculiarity of the Lebanese banking crisis vis-à-vis other historical crises; the second section surveys the regulatory toolkit typically used in bank restructuring; and the third section reviews the numerous recovery plans that have been proposed for Lebanon, with particular emphasis on bank restructuring. The fourth section assesses the viability of each bank under multiple restructuring scenarios and quantifying the fiscal cost of a deposit recovery fund should banks not manage to meet their obligations.Item type:Item, Demystifying Decentralization and Federalism: The Case of Lebanon(Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International Affairs, 2025) El Chaer, Rabih; Halabi, Fares; Sleiman, Andre; Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International AffairsWhile decentralization and federalism are increasingly discussed as potential solutions to Lebanon’s governance crisis, both are complicated by sectarian dynamics, clientelism, and the limited capacity of state institutions.Item type:Item, Towards a Productive “New” Lebanon(Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International Affairs, 2025-02) Bisat, Amer; Diwan, Ishac; Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International AffairsThe economic system in Lebanon, facing several challenges, requires change and observations for the future. The challenges and paralysis the system is facing not only relates to economic and financial factors but also political.Item type:Item, Lessons From The 2019 Social Movements of The MENA Region(Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International Affairs, 2025-05) Boubekeur, Amel; Diwan, Ishac; Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy & International AffairsUpon the 2019 movements that took place in Algeria, Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria, several factors shaped these movements. Despite their limited success, they have significant impact for the future.