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Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices: Evidence from China and India

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dc.contributor.advisor Neaime, Simon
dc.contributor.author Daher, Rein
dc.date.accessioned 2020-09-22T12:59:00Z
dc.date.available 2020-09-22T12:59:00Z
dc.date.issued 9/22/2020
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10938/21916
dc.description Muhammed Alparslan Tuncay
dc.description.abstract This project investigates the relationship between stock market prices and three macroeconomic variables which are inflation, exchange rate and interest rate in China and India. We employ monthly data on SSE Composite index as a proxy for China’s stock market, BSE Sensex as a proxy for India’s stock market, CPI as a proxy for inflation, China Yuan/USD and Indian Rupee/USD as proxies for exchange rates and deposit rate as a proxy for interest rate for the period from January 2009 to January 2019 in an unrestricted VAR model. The results indicate that there is a unidirectional causal relationship between stock prices and interest rate in China while in India, there is a bidirectional causal relationship between stock prices and exchange rate and a unidirectional causal relationship between stock prices and inflation. Inflation and interest rate are found to have a negative effect on stock prices while exchange rate is found to have a positive effect on them.
dc.language.iso en
dc.title Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices: Evidence from China and India
dc.type Student Project
dc.contributor.department Department of Economics
dc.contributor.faculty Faculty of Arts and Sciences
dc.contributor.institution American University of Beirut


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