The effect of exchange rate on stock prices in China

Abstract

This study examines the effect of exchange rate on stock market in China. We employ daily data on SSE composite index as proxy for Shanghai stock exchange and on USD-CNY exchange rate for the 10 years period between January 1, 2009 and January 1, 2019 (post 2008 financial crisis period) in an unrestricted VAR model. After conducting cointegration test, Granger causality test, orthogonal variance decomposition and impulse response function, we find that there’s no long run relation between exchange rate and stock prices in China, whereas exchange rate appreciation is found to have a negative but minimal effect on Chinese stock prices in the short run.